I hate giving out heavily juiced favored as free tips but… here goes anyway.
Nasrat Haqparast vs Thibault Gouti
Nasrat opened at -350 which was incredible odds and I congratulate anyone who was able to bet that before the odds imploded.
I believe Nasrat is the dark horse of LW, a guy who has amazing potential and is flying under the radar. He’s basically as unknown as you can be given his skillset.
Even at -700 I just don’t see how he loses barring any freak type upset happening. Thibault is so far from Nasrat level that it’s not even funny.
Should you bet -700? I wouldn’t go that far, that’s too much juice. Is it worth taking a stab at Thibault? No. I understand that some people feel the need to bet heavy underdog out of principle because the odds are “too high” but I think the current line is well deserved.
Nordine Taleb vs Sean Strickland
Strickland at +120 is worth a stab. I actually slightly favor Strickland in this matchup. He’s a guy who never really looked amazing but still able to grind out wins consistently.
I can see Strickland slowly picking Taleb apart standing and getting a decision win. I think Strickland is being undervalued because of the KO loss he suffered from Santos – a fight he was doing well in until he got caught.
Verdict: 1u @ Strickland +120